Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +31.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 28% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -3.5 | +1.3 | -8.7 | +10.9 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 25% | 18% | 33% | -6.1 | -16.9 | -4.7 | +27.7 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 16% | 11% | 14% | 59% | -3.8 | -5.7 | +19.2 | -9.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 16% | 10% | 25% | 48% | -3.5 | -0.8 | -2.4 | +6.6 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 10% | 22% | 55% | -8.0 | -6.5 | -12.3 | +26.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 4% | 7% | 84% | -4.7 | +11.1 | -2.2 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 6% | 7% | 82% | +4.7 | -2.5 | -0.5 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 18,000 | 5% | 6% | 8% | 81% | +51.6 | -13.5 | -18.2 | -19.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 4% | 4% | 52% | -21.8 | -6.3 | -3.3 | +31.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 1% | 2% | 91% | -1.1 | -6.0 | +2.8 | +4.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 1% | 97% | +12.8 | -1.3 | -9.0 | -2.5 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 96% | +6.4 | -8.7 | +5.9 | -3.6 |