Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +28.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -0.7 | +0.6 | -10.4 | +10.5 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 24% | 19% | 34% | -4.0 | -16.7 | -3.5 | +24.2 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 12% | 14% | 55% | -8.6 | -4.2 | +19.1 | -6.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,100 | 14% | 11% | 26% | 49% | +1.0 | -2.2 | -5.3 | +6.4 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 10% | 20% | 57% | -9.6 | -7.3 | -7.4 | +24.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 4% | 10% | 81% | -5.8 | +12.9 | -5.1 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 4% | 6% | 7% | 83% | +7.2 | -2.0 | -2.8 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 6% | 8% | 80% | +48.3 | -16.6 | -14.6 | -17.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 3% | 4% | 55% | -19.8 | -3.2 | -5.6 | +28.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 6% | 2% | 1% | 91% | -1.9 | -6.7 | +4.0 | +4.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 2% | 96% | +13.5 | -2.8 | -8.3 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 95% | +6.4 | -8.0 | +5.1 | -3.6 |