Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/13 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -5.9 | +5.0 | -2.4 | +3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 30% | 22% | 27% | -7.0 | -16.0 | -4.9 | +27.9 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 16% | 19% | 50% | -11.3 | -8.3 | +29.0 | -9.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 13% | 38% | 39% | -4.0 | +9.1 | -3.0 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 9% | 17% | 36% | 38% | -0.7 | +12.4 | +3.1 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 25% | 40% | 26% | -11.1 | -4.1 | +16.9 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 2% | 17% | 59% | 22% | +7.3 | -15.8 | +7.1 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 7% | 72% | 19% | +0.9 | +1.7 | +0.1 | -2.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 5% | 78% | 15% | +38.4 | -25.0 | +8.0 | -21.5 |