Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/13 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | -3.2 | +3.1 | -2.9 | +3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 28% | 23% | 28% | -8.6 | -11.8 | -7.3 | +27.7 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 16% | 17% | 52% | -10.0 | -12.6 | +32.8 | -10.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 10% | 41% | 39% | -4.5 | +12.1 | -4.2 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 8% | 17% | 37% | 38% | -1.0 | +11.6 | +1.5 | -12.0 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 25% | 40% | 27% | -12.3 | -3.7 | +18.1 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 2% | 18% | 60% | 21% | +9.7 | -16.5 | +7.0 | -0.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 6% | 73% | 19% | -1.0 | +1.9 | +0.1 | -1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 5% | 78% | 16% | +39.2 | -24.4 | +7.8 | -22.5 |