Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/15 Game 1
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+92.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -5.4 | +10.7 | -4.1 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 32% | 23% | 25% | +9.3 | -4.8 | -1.4 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 28% | 22% | 23% | -9.8 | -12.0 | +31.1 | -9.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 18% | 46% | 17% | +13.1 | -1.6 | -5.7 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 17% | 41% | 14% | -13.9 | +39.3 | -8.4 | -17.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 16% | 49% | 29% | 5% | -6.7 | -2.5 | +11.7 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori | 10% | 45% | 41% | 4% | -14.7 | +17.5 | -3.8 | +1.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 2% | 65% | 29% | 3% | +1.1 | -2.3 | +10.7 | -9.5 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 61% | 37% | 1% | -5.1 | -24.1 | +34.2 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 10% | 89% | 1% | -3.8 | -8.8 | +16.3 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -6.0 | -6.3 | +19.7 | -7.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +19.0 | -2.4 | -13.6 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.5 | +3.8 | +4.4 | -6.7 |