Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/16 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -7.9 | +12.5 | -1.3 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 35% | 22% | 23% | +3.7 | +0.7 | +1.9 | -6.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 34% | 23% | 20% | +30.2 | -18.3 | -6.5 | -5.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 46% | 19% | 18% | 17% | -0.7 | +5.9 | -7.0 | +1.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 46% | 23% | 14% | 17% | +9.3 | -0.4 | +1.1 | -10.0 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000 | 57% | 20% | 14% | 9% | +35.7 | -14.7 | -11.9 | -9.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 92% | 3% | 3% | 2% | -4.4 | -4.1 | +12.8 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 91% | 3% | 4% | 2% | +4.2 | +0.2 | +0.8 | -5.1 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 7,700 from Sho Shiratori | 96% | 0% | 3% | 2% | -0.6 | -2.5 | +16.6 | -13.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 94% | 0% | 5% | 1% | -1.2 | -2.4 | +4.2 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 0% | 7% | 0% | -2.2 | -1.4 | +5.0 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 90% | 0% | 10% | 1% | +1.4 | +4.5 | -4.5 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 98% | 0% | 2% | 0% | +0.2 | -4.5 | +0.6 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -1.7 | +2.0 | +3.7 | -4.0 |