Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/16 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +36.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -7.4 | +11.8 | -1.5 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 33% | 24% | 23% | +2.1 | +3.0 | +1.6 | -6.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 36% | 23% | 20% | +31.9 | -18.7 | -6.2 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 47% | 19% | 18% | 15% | -1.6 | +5.0 | -6.4 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 46% | 23% | 14% | 17% | +9.1 | -0.1 | -2.3 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 56% | 20% | 12% | 11% | +36.0 | -13.9 | -10.1 | -12.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 92% | 4% | 3% | 2% | -4.9 | -2.9 | +12.4 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 90% | 4% | 3% | 2% | +5.5 | -1.4 | +1.2 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 7,700 from Shiratori Sho | 96% | 0% | 2% | 1% | -1.1 | -3.4 | +18.6 | -14.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 93% | 0% | 6% | 0% | -1.7 | -1.9 | +3.7 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 92% | 0% | 8% | 1% | -1.5 | -0.9 | +4.4 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 89% | 0% | 10% | 0% | +1.6 | +4.2 | -4.6 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 98% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.2 | -4.2 | +0.4 | +4.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -1.6 | +1.3 | +4.1 | -3.8 |