Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/16 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+87.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +47.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +4.2 | -2.8 | +1.8 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 28% | 23% | 26% | 23% | -3.3 | -29.2 | -1.5 | +34.0 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 22% | 8% | 23% | 47% | -5.4 | -2.1 | +8.4 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 18% | 8% | 27% | 48% | +1.5 | +23.0 | -2.2 | -22.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 23% | 18% | 29% | 31% | -4.1 | -4.0 | +6.7 | +1.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 14% | 35% | 31% | -13.8 | +14.9 | -0.4 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,900 | 13% | 23% | 33% | 31% | +12.4 | -5.6 | -2.4 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 19% | 33% | 28% | +22.4 | -3.4 | -10.7 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 36% | 19% | 24% | 21% | +47.3 | -14.4 | -17.9 | -15.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi | 86% | 4% | 5% | 5% | +12.9 | +1.8 | -17.8 | +3.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Draw | 94% | 2% | 2% | 2% | +3.8 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Ooi Takaharu | 96% | 1% | 1% | 2% | +9.9 | -15.8 | +2.3 | +3.5 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -0.9 | +0.3 | -19.2 | +19.7 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -1.6 | -1.9 | -1.0 | +4.5 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +0.6 | +4.8 | -5.9 | +0.5 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -1.0 | +1.7 | -14.2 | +13.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +1.6 | +4.8 | +0.5 | -6.9 |