Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/16 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+87.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +45.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +4.6 | -0.4 | +1.0 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 27% | 24% | 25% | 23% | -3.3 | -31.8 | -1.4 | +36.5 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi | 21% | 8% | 20% | 50% | -3.3 | -3.3 | +11.0 | -4.4 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 19% | 5% | 30% | 46% | -0.2 | +24.9 | -3.7 | -20.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 17% | 28% | 31% | -4.1 | -2.0 | +5.0 | +1.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 20% | 17% | 32% | 32% | -12.6 | +11.8 | +2.5 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,900 | 14% | 22% | 35% | 29% | +11.9 | -3.3 | -5.8 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 6,000 | 21% | 21% | 31% | 27% | +23.7 | -5.6 | -9.3 | -8.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 39% | 17% | 23% | 21% | +45.8 | -15.4 | -15.8 | -14.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani | 85% | 4% | 6% | 5% | +11.3 | +2.5 | -18.6 | +4.9 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | +4.6 | -0.5 | -0.6 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Takaharu Ooi | 96% | 2% | 1% | 2% | +10.7 | -14.5 | 0.0 | +3.8 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 98% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.8 | -0.8 | -17.8 | +19.4 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -2.0 | -0.7 | -1.9 | +4.6 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +0.6 | +3.8 | -5.6 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.9 | +1.6 | -13.8 | +13.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +1.5 | +5.0 | +0.5 | -7.0 |