Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/19 Game 2
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +49.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -11.4 | +8.9 | -1.0 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,700 | 17% | 32% | 23% | 28% | +9.2 | -6.1 | +2.3 | -5.4 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 27% | 26% | 24% | -5.9 | -3.7 | -17.3 | +26.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 23% | 13% | 46% | +4.5 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 24% | 13% | 43% | -15.2 | -10.5 | +30.4 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 17% | 33% | 39% | +7.3 | -4.5 | -2.6 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 15% | 29% | 39% | -15.8 | +49.9 | -23.3 | -10.8 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 6% | 66% | 8% | 20% | -14.7 | +18.4 | -2.9 | -0.7 |