Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/19 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +49.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -11.9 | +10.1 | +1.8 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,700 | 17% | 31% | 25% | 27% | +9.1 | -4.4 | -2.9 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 28% | 23% | 26% | -6.6 | -4.0 | -12.6 | +23.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 17% | 24% | 15% | 43% | +7.2 | -2.2 | -2.8 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 23% | 13% | 41% | -18.2 | -8.5 | +30.0 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 11% | 18% | 32% | 39% | +8.1 | -5.9 | -0.8 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 15% | 31% | 37% | -15.7 | +49.7 | -23.4 | -10.6 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 6% | 65% | 9% | 19% | -14.7 | +18.8 | -4.6 | +0.5 |