Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/20 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+51.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +21.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +6.0 | -5.7 | -0.6 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 20% | 24% | 25% | -12.7 | -4.0 | +22.0 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 20% | 17% | 42% | 22% | -19.8 | -3.3 | +1.7 | +21.3 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,700 | 10% | 13% | 42% | 36% | -0.9 | -3.7 | -5.0 | +9.6 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 8% | 12% | 36% | 45% | +4.8 | +0.8 | +1.3 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 11% | 12% | 38% | 39% | -3.5 | +11.2 | -11.3 | +3.7 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 8% | 18% | 28% | 45% | -4.8 | -4.9 | +7.7 | +2.0 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 5% | 13% | 34% | 47% | +26.9 | -30.6 | +0.6 | +3.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 1% | 32% | 50% | -2.3 | +3.8 | -7.5 | +5.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 3% | 23% | 58% | -3.8 | -2.7 | +6.1 | +0.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 14% | 2% | 28% | 57% | -8.6 | +2.4 | -10.7 | +16.9 |