Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/22 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +44.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -23.2 | +1.7 | -4.5 | +26.0 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 22% | 21% | 45% | -13.7 | +44.5 | -12.9 | -17.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 5% | 61% | 11% | 23% | -7.0 | -3.6 | -3.5 | +14.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 3% | 56% | 9% | 33% | +1.3 | -1.6 | +3.3 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,500 | 4% | 54% | 11% | 31% | -4.5 | -1.4 | +9.5 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 54% | 14% | 28% | +17.4 | -1.4 | -14.6 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 56% | 9% | 29% | -0.7 | +8.1 | -1.5 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 6% | 66% | 7% | 21% | +13.6 | +0.8 | -11.8 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 68% | 5% | 18% | -6.5 | +3.9 | +2.3 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 73% | 5% | 18% | -6.3 | -15.5 | -8.2 | +30.0 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 2% | 49% | 3% | 47% | -9.9 | 0.0 | +9.6 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 49% | 4% | 47% | -1.3 | +12.6 | -2.8 | -8.6 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 73% | 0% | 27% | -9.5 | +15.6 | +7.6 | -13.7 |