Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/22 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 9,600 from Kobayashi Go | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +24.7 | -21.9 | -1.1 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 43% | 13% | 21% | 24% | -5.1 | +5.9 | +0.6 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 39% | 15% | 23% | 24% | +0.7 | -9.2 | -5.1 | +13.6 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 6,000 | 38% | 10% | 19% | 33% | -7.0 | -5.3 | +16.4 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,500 | 32% | 9% | 30% | 30% | +0.9 | -3.3 | -3.2 | +5.6 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,000 | 33% | 7% | 26% | 34% | -6.2 | -1.0 | -2.2 | +9.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 7% | 25% | 41% | +6.6 | -3.2 | -1.2 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 32% | 5% | 23% | 40% | -0.7 | -0.9 | +3.0 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Honda Tomohiro | 31% | 5% | 25% | 39% | -6.2 | +4.8 | +0.8 | +0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,800 | 27% | 7% | 26% | 40% | -10.3 | +26.1 | -9.5 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 21% | 19% | 23% | 36% | -28.8 | -5.0 | +33.8 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 10% | 53% | 32% | -2.9 | -1.3 | +6.6 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 8% | 62% | 26% | -4.4 | -9.9 | +27.5 | -13.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | +1.6 | +2.7 | +1.8 | -6.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 1% | 95% | 5% | +0.6 | +0.9 | +5.1 | -6.6 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -0.4 | +9.9 | -1.5 | -8.0 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 0% | 98% | 1% | -9.9 | +14.0 | -2.4 | -1.7 |