Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/22 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +35.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 9,600 from Go Kobayashi | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +22.0 | -20.8 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 42% | 12% | 21% | 25% | -3.0 | +3.7 | -1.3 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 40% | 13% | 22% | 25% | -1.3 | -7.5 | -2.3 | +11.1 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 6,000 | 38% | 9% | 19% | 33% | -5.3 | -6.8 | +17.9 | -5.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,500 | 33% | 7% | 32% | 28% | +0.5 | -2.0 | -4.3 | +5.8 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,000 | 34% | 6% | 27% | 33% | -8.7 | -0.6 | -4.0 | +13.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 6% | 24% | 45% | +8.2 | -1.7 | -1.9 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 33% | 6% | 21% | 40% | +1.6 | -3.1 | +2.9 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Tomohiro Honda | 34% | 5% | 23% | 39% | -9.3 | +6.7 | +1.1 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 7,800 | 26% | 7% | 26% | 41% | -7.4 | +23.7 | -9.5 | -6.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 22% | 18% | 22% | 38% | -30.8 | -3.0 | +35.5 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 11% | 55% | 29% | -2.4 | -1.5 | +4.5 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 9% | 60% | 28% | -5.2 | -10.7 | +28.9 | -12.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 93% | 6% | +2.6 | +3.5 | +1.3 | -7.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 1% | 94% | 6% | +0.4 | +1.4 | +6.1 | -8.0 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | +0.1 | +8.3 | -1.8 | -6.6 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -10.3 | +14.4 | -2.4 | -1.7 |