Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/23 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Takamiya Mari tsumo 5,200, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +22.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +12.5 | +1.7 | -13.2 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,300 from Uotani Yuumi | 33% | 25% | 17% | 25% | +0.6 | -5.9 | -0.4 | +5.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 33% | 21% | 17% | 29% | +1.7 | +4.7 | -4.3 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 24% | 15% | 26% | +0.5 | +4.0 | +1.2 | -5.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 5,200 | 36% | 26% | 14% | 24% | +22.3 | -12.3 | -3.5 | -6.5 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 56% | 15% | 12% | 17% | +5.3 | -0.8 | -4.1 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 64% | 13% | 8% | 15% | +18.8 | -18.9 | +0.9 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 85% | 4% | 4% | 7% | +3.1 | -1.0 | -0.4 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 87% | 3% | 4% | 6% | +2.4 | +3.1 | -1.8 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 90% | 3% | 3% | 4% | -0.5 | -9.9 | +9.1 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 91% | 2% | 4% | 4% | +0.6 | -5.4 | +6.1 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 4,000 | 93% | 0% | 4% | 3% | +0.1 | -5.9 | -13.1 | +18.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +1.6 | -1.1 | +0.2 | -0.8 |