Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/23 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Mari Takamiya tsumo 5,200, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +22.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +15.1 | -1.9 | -14.3 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,300 from Yuumi Uotani | 36% | 23% | 16% | 25% | -4.7 | -2.8 | -0.6 | +8.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 22% | 16% | 30% | +4.3 | +1.3 | -2.2 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 23% | 14% | 28% | +1.3 | +4.2 | +2.3 | -7.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 5,200 | 36% | 25% | 16% | 23% | +22.2 | -8.6 | -6.5 | -7.1 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 58% | 16% | 11% | 15% | +3.3 | -1.7 | -4.1 | +2.5 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 63% | 14% | 8% | 16% | +19.4 | -21.6 | +2.9 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 85% | 3% | 5% | 7% | +4.5 | -0.8 | -1.7 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 89% | 3% | 3% | 6% | +1.0 | +5.2 | -3.0 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 89% | 3% | 2% | 5% | +0.2 | -10.5 | +10.2 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 91% | 2% | 3% | 4% | -0.3 | -5.2 | +7.6 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 4,000 | 92% | 0% | 4% | 4% | +0.7 | -6.2 | -14.4 | +19.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 95% | 0% | 0% | 5% | +1.9 | -1.2 | +0.3 | -1.0 |