Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/23 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+70.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +39.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -2.0 | -19.6 | -0.5 | +22.1 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 13% | 25% | 41% | -5.2 | -12.9 | +26.9 | -8.8 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 7% | 44% | 31% | -13.5 | -10.0 | +39.0 | -15.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 2% | 83% | 11% | -1.1 | -2.8 | +1.0 | +2.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 2% | 83% | 11% | -9.3 | -4.7 | -14.6 | +28.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 3% | 1% | 64% | 31% | -0.4 | -1.9 | +2.5 | -0.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 1% | 69% | 28% | +4.5 | -0.9 | -1.4 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,500 from Date Arisa | 3% | 1% | 68% | 28% | +7.7 | -1.0 | +1.2 | -7.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 5% | 1% | 72% | 22% | -20.5 | +14.9 | +3.7 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 7,700 from Date Arisa | 0% | 1% | 78% | 20% | -3.8 | +17.9 | +3.6 | -17.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 4% | 87% | 9% | -4.0 | +2.6 | -2.9 | +4.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 4% | 84% | 12% | -12.5 | -1.1 | +13.3 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -3.7 | -3.9 | -7.3 | +14.9 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11% | -0.5 | +1.9 | +5.1 | -6.5 |