Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/10 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+62.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -19.5 | -7.5 | -7.9 | +34.9 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 17% | 18% | 54% | +21.3 | -12.6 | -5.9 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 10% | 15% | 52% | -1.7 | +12.3 | -9.4 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 22% | 17% | 10% | 51% | -3.0 | -4.0 | +5.5 | +1.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Suzuki Yu | 21% | 14% | 12% | 54% | -21.3 | +0.2 | +1.2 | +20.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,300 from Ooi Takaharu | 6% | 10% | 9% | 75% | +9.1 | -2.6 | -1.3 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 9% | 9% | 71% | -21.5 | +35.8 | -7.6 | -6.6 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 2% | 31% | 6% | 61% | +13.0 | -0.8 | -14.4 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 3% | 28% | 4% | 66% | -2.0 | +5.9 | +1.3 | -5.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 37% | 4% | 56% | -17.1 | -14.4 | +39.5 | -8.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 2% | 27% | 21% | 51% | +28.2 | +4.4 | -37.4 | +4.7 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 10% | 28% | 2% | 60% | -9.5 | -18.8 | -7.3 | +35.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.8 | -3.5 | -3.1 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -23.2 | +8.0 | +25.2 | -10.0 |