Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
4/10 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+62.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -18.4 | -8.0 | -9.4 | +35.9 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 17% | 16% | 56% | +22.2 | -14.4 | -3.2 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 10% | 16% | 51% | -3.0 | +12.6 | -8.0 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 16% | 11% | 51% | -4.6 | -1.1 | +4.6 | +1.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Yu Suzuki | 18% | 16% | 13% | 53% | -17.3 | -1.7 | 0.0 | +19.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,300 from Takaharu Ooi | 9% | 10% | 9% | 73% | +5.1 | +0.5 | -0.7 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 11% | 10% | 70% | -19.8 | +32.6 | -8.1 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 2% | 29% | 6% | 63% | +13.7 | -2.1 | -14.5 | +2.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 25% | 3% | 68% | -2.3 | +6.5 | +1.8 | -6.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 36% | 4% | 57% | -17.0 | -14.7 | +38.9 | -7.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 1% | 25% | 20% | 53% | +29.3 | +4.9 | -37.9 | +3.6 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 10% | 27% | 1% | 62% | -10.1 | -18.4 | -6.7 | +35.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.1 | -3.0 | -2.5 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -23.2 | +7.8 | +25.1 | -9.6 |