Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/11 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+82.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +36.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -15.7 | +33.4 | -6.2 | -11.5 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 51% | 18% | 17% | -2.4 | -7.5 | +12.7 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 13% | 44% | 26% | 16% | -4.9 | +2.2 | +4.7 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 46% | 29% | 16% | -4.5 | -7.0 | -13.6 | +25.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 41% | 20% | 30% | +1.3 | +3.8 | -7.9 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 9% | 44% | 15% | 32% | -1.0 | +10.1 | -3.9 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 8% | 56% | 11% | 25% | -8.7 | -0.3 | -2.1 | +11.1 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 3% | 54% | 10% | 34% | -6.4 | +36.6 | -11.8 | -18.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 93% | 1% | 5% | -4.5 | +15.0 | -5.6 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -5.1 | -2.4 | +12.0 | -4.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 99% | 1% | 1% | -2.3 | -0.9 | +5.6 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -1.1 | -1.0 | +6.0 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +0.7 | -1.6 | +4.1 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 97% | 2% | 1% | -1.8 | +3.6 | +0.3 | -2.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 1% | -2.5 | -1.2 | +2.2 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +30.9 | -0.2 | +5.1 | -35.8 |