Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/13 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Shiratori Sho ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +42.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -5.7 | +9.8 | -3.7 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 21% | 31% | 24% | 24% | -10.4 | -5.4 | +15.7 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 16% | 24% | 35% | 25% | +0.6 | -1.4 | +42.4 | -41.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 15% | 73% | 4% | +5.3 | -2.0 | -1.9 | -1.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 10% | 13% | 73% | 4% | -2.0 | +7.3 | -0.3 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 8% | 16% | 74% | 1% | -11.7 | +8.8 | +2.1 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 19% | 78% | 1% | -8.9 | -9.3 | +1.8 | +16.4 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 9% | 87% | 3% | -16.6 | -20.0 | -17.0 | +53.6 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 3% | 68% | 28% | -1.8 | -10.2 | +23.5 | -11.5 |