Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
4/13 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sho Shiratori ron 18,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +43.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,700 | 28% | 24% | 24% | 24% | -5.4 | +5.5 | +1.7 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Rumi Nikaido | 23% | 28% | 26% | 23% | -13.4 | -3.1 | +12.9 | +3.6 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 18,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 14% | 24% | 35% | 26% | +1.3 | -1.2 | +43.1 | -43.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 14% | 74% | 3% | +6.4 | -1.2 | -2.5 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 10% | 14% | 73% | 4% | -1.3 | +7.0 | -1.3 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Rumi Nikaido | 9% | 16% | 73% | 2% | -12.7 | +8.9 | +3.0 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 18% | 78% | 2% | -8.6 | -9.3 | +1.9 | +15.9 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 8% | 86% | 4% | -17.3 | -19.4 | -17.3 | +54.0 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 4% | 68% | 28% | -1.6 | -10.9 | +23.6 | -11.1 |