Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
4/17 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -13.3 | +21.6 | -3.5 | -4.7 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 40% | 21% | 22% | -8.0 | -17.6 | +33.2 | -7.5 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 12% | 24% | 46% | 18% | +0.2 | -6.5 | -0.4 | +6.7 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 12% | 20% | 47% | 21% | +5.4 | +1.4 | -2.8 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 16% | 21% | 46% | 17% | -15.0 | -2.0 | +16.5 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 16% | 66% | 13% | -4.1 | +11.6 | -4.9 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 24% | 59% | 13% | -5.8 | -10.5 | +2.4 | +13.9 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 13% | 65% | 21% | -4.8 | -9.7 | +24.8 | -10.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 92% | 6% | -3.4 | -3.6 | -1.0 | +8.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 94% | 5% | -1.3 | -4.2 | +4.4 | +1.1 |