Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/17 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +34.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -14.0 | +21.4 | -4.4 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 41% | 21% | 23% | -6.4 | -18.1 | +34.6 | -10.1 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 12% | 24% | 47% | 16% | -0.2 | -6.0 | -1.5 | +7.7 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 12% | 21% | 47% | 20% | +4.2 | -0.1 | -2.0 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 14% | 21% | 47% | 17% | -15.4 | 0.0 | +15.2 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 4% | 17% | 65% | 14% | -1.9 | +10.8 | -4.6 | -4.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 24% | 59% | 14% | -5.5 | -11.5 | +2.2 | +14.8 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 13% | 63% | 22% | -5.6 | -9.3 | +25.8 | -10.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 93% | 6% | -4.3 | -3.5 | -1.5 | +9.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 94% | 5% | -1.1 | -4.0 | +4.4 | +0.6 |