Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/18 Game 1
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+58.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +9.4 | -1.8 | -7.1 | -0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 7,800 | 31% | 23% | 21% | 25% | +19.1 | -3.9 | -7.9 | -7.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 20% | 15% | 19% | -12.9 | +22.2 | -4.2 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 34% | 36% | 14% | 17% | -2.4 | +26.1 | -24.0 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 57% | 4% | 13% | +0.5 | -0.7 | -6.4 | +6.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 26% | 56% | 3% | 15% | -2.5 | -1.3 | +4.8 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 24% | 57% | 4% | 16% | +0.3 | -1.9 | -16.9 | +18.4 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 22% | 51% | 1% | 25% | +27.4 | -21.2 | -1.0 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 52% | 28% | 1% | 20% | +8.0 | -2.7 | -3.9 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 22% | 1% | 16% | -2.7 | +5.8 | +0.9 | -3.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 27% | 0% | 14% | -22.6 | +37.7 | -5.2 | -9.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 20% | 74% | 0% | 6% | +33.8 | -32.3 | +0.4 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000 | 72% | 22% | 0% | 6% | -6.3 | -6.3 | +21.7 | -9.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 71% | 22% | 2% | 5% | +5.3 | -35.5 | +31.6 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 85% | 3% | 6% | 7% | +3.4 | +17.7 | -3.8 | -17.3 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 7,800 | 92% | 4% | 1% | 4% | -3.8 | -7.6 | -15.5 | +26.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 88% | 3% | 1% | 8% | +4.9 | +11.9 | -9.0 | -7.8 |