Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/18 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +48.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +2.4 | +1.9 | -1.8 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 28% | 26% | 24% | 22% | +48.1 | -17.4 | -16.6 | -14.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 67% | 12% | 10% | 11% | -8.9 | -6.7 | +21.8 | -6.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 59% | 11% | 21% | 9% | +2.8 | -1.4 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,100 | 65% | 8% | 19% | 9% | -0.4 | +4.8 | -2.1 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 65% | 9% | 17% | 9% | -0.3 | -3.7 | +10.4 | -6.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 65% | 8% | 23% | 5% | -1.5 | -3.8 | -0.6 | +5.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 65% | 7% | 22% | 6% | +6.4 | -8.5 | -20.4 | +22.5 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 2% | 10% | 11% | -0.8 | -6.6 | -15.4 | +22.7 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 79% | 0% | 1% | 21% | +8.8 | -13.1 | +12.2 | -7.9 |