Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
4/18 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +45.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +5.3 | +2.6 | -3.3 | -4.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 29% | 26% | 24% | 22% | +45.0 | -14.0 | -15.7 | -15.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 66% | 13% | 11% | 11% | -8.8 | -6.2 | +20.7 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 59% | 11% | 21% | 9% | +1.8 | -2.9 | -0.6 | +1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,100 | 62% | 8% | 20% | 10% | +1.2 | +4.8 | -4.0 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000 | 64% | 10% | 16% | 10% | -1.2 | -5.0 | +13.3 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 64% | 7% | 24% | 5% | -0.7 | -4.1 | -1.2 | +5.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 65% | 6% | 22% | 7% | +6.6 | -6.1 | -22.2 | +21.7 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 2% | 9% | 12% | -1.2 | -6.7 | -15.1 | +23.0 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 78% | 0% | 1% | 21% | +9.0 | -14.1 | +13.3 | -8.1 |