Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/20 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -8.9 | +8.5 | -0.3 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 30% | 26% | 26% | -5.4 | -11.0 | -6.9 | +23.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 21% | 20% | 45% | -2.6 | -0.9 | -4.1 | +7.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 13% | 19% | 16% | 52% | +37.0 | -1.6 | -30.5 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 36% | 15% | 4% | 45% | +5.1 | -2.5 | -1.1 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 40% | 15% | 4% | 42% | +6.3 | -2.0 | -0.5 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 46% | 13% | 4% | 38% | +4.1 | -1.2 | +24.5 | -27.4 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Ooi Takaharu | 58% | 14% | 11% | 17% | +0.4 | +16.9 | -15.5 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 58% | 22% | 5% | 15% | +0.1 | +4.2 | -7.9 | +3.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 25% | 4% | 17% | +25.0 | -16.4 | -3.6 | -5.0 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 89% | 3% | 2% | 7% | -6.3 | +1.0 | +7.7 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 83% | 5% | 4% | 8% | -4.9 | -8.6 | +21.3 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 78% | 4% | 9% | 9% | +2.6 | -5.7 | -19.3 | +22.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 86% | 2% | 1% | 12% | +5.8 | +0.6 | -5.6 | -0.8 |