Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/21 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -2.6 | +16.0 | -0.5 | -13.0 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 23% | 37% | 23% | 17% | +0.9 | -25.5 | +0.7 | +23.9 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 24% | 19% | 24% | 33% | +1.9 | -1.8 | -2.8 | +2.7 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 7,700 from Date Arisa | 25% | 18% | 21% | 37% | -1.6 | -21.1 | -3.5 | +26.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 6% | 14% | 61% | -11.8 | -7.7 | -13.3 | +32.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 2% | 2% | 91% | -6.4 | -5.1 | +15.4 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,700 | 3% | 1% | 6% | 90% | -4.4 | -3.0 | +5.7 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 1% | 5% | 93% | -28.0 | +28.9 | +0.1 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 3% | 5% | 92% | -5.9 | -1.7 | +1.8 | +5.8 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | +6.7 | -4.3 | -2.3 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.4 | +0.5 | +5.8 | -2.8 |