Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
4/21 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 18,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 23% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +1.7 | +14.8 | -4.2 | -12.3 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 23% | 36% | 22% | 19% | -0.4 | -25.7 | +1.4 | +24.7 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Arisa Date | 24% | 18% | 23% | 36% | +1.2 | -2.1 | -1.0 | +1.9 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 7,700 from Arisa Date | 25% | 17% | 20% | 38% | +1.2 | -20.2 | -4.4 | +23.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 6% | 13% | 60% | -16.8 | -7.1 | -11.5 | +35.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 1% | 3% | 93% | -3.2 | -5.9 | +13.6 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 3% | 1% | 5% | 91% | -4.7 | -3.2 | +7.7 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 1% | 1% | 6% | 93% | -28.7 | +29.5 | -1.0 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 3% | 5% | 92% | -4.8 | -2.5 | +2.1 | +5.1 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | +6.2 | -3.7 | -2.9 | +0.4 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.4 | +0.5 | +6.0 | -3.2 |