Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
4/24 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +24.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -10.2 | +1.2 | +7.4 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 26% | 29% | 26% | -2.1 | +0.6 | +4.7 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 3,200 | 17% | 25% | 33% | 25% | +16.6 | -10.2 | -3.9 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 28% | 19% | 30% | 23% | +24.7 | -0.3 | -22.9 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 16% | 14% | 20% | +4.7 | +6.2 | -6.0 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 56% | 19% | 10% | 15% | -2.7 | -2.7 | -21.6 | +27.0 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 14% | 4% | 31% | +1.2 | -14.9 | +16.2 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 7% | 8% | 28% | -2.4 | +4.7 | +3.7 | -6.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 55% | 9% | 10% | 25% | +4.8 | +25.8 | -23.2 | -7.3 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 64% | 20% | 1% | 16% | +22.6 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -18.8 |