Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/24 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +25.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | -9.8 | -2.5 | +11.7 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 25% | 32% | 25% | -1.0 | +2.5 | -0.5 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 3,200 | 18% | 26% | 31% | 25% | +16.7 | -9.8 | -2.4 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 29% | 20% | 29% | 21% | +25.2 | +0.2 | -24.8 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 51% | 16% | 13% | 20% | +2.5 | +4.6 | -2.6 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 54% | 19% | 11% | 16% | -2.1 | -2.5 | -22.4 | +27.0 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 15% | 4% | 30% | +1.3 | -14.6 | +16.3 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 56% | 7% | 9% | 29% | -1.7 | +3.1 | +3.0 | -4.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 55% | 9% | 10% | 26% | +4.0 | +26.4 | -23.3 | -7.1 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 62% | 19% | 0% | 18% | +23.2 | -1.3 | -1.9 | -20.1 |