Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/24 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -11.1 | -1.7 | +1.0 | +11.9 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 17% | 24% | 25% | 34% | +16.7 | -15.8 | -0.9 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 27% | 14% | 24% | 34% | -16.6 | +17.4 | -0.8 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 24% | 24% | 36% | -7.4 | -8.8 | +38.0 | -21.9 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 14% | 60% | 15% | -19.5 | -9.5 | -10.9 | +40.0 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 9% | 41% | 48% | -6.4 | +17.4 | -6.2 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 2% | 18% | 36% | 45% | +1.0 | -20.2 | +22.1 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 3% | 64% | 32% | +16.6 | -11.2 | -2.1 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 1% | 70% | 27% | +5.9 | -8.6 | +13.9 | -11.2 |