Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/25 Game 1
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 23% | 26% | 27% | -1.5 | +32.8 | -29.8 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 49% | 9% | 21% | +2.2 | -3.4 | -1.6 | +2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 46% | 9% | 23% | -5.8 | -7.9 | -14.0 | +27.6 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 17% | 34% | 3% | 46% | +12.8 | -1.8 | -8.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 24% | 31% | 2% | 43% | -3.8 | -4.7 | -0.8 | +9.2 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 3,000 | 19% | 26% | 2% | 53% | -7.2 | +12.5 | -0.6 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 13% | 38% | 2% | 47% | -7.5 | -1.3 | -1.3 | +10.1 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 32% | 1% | 60% | -6.2 | +32.0 | -7.9 | -17.8 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 81% | 0% | 19% | +7.0 | +6.0 | -1.5 | -11.5 |