Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
4/25 Game 1
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -2.8 | +32.2 | -30.1 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 49% | 10% | 23% | +2.7 | -4.5 | -0.5 | +2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 44% | 10% | 25% | -6.7 | -7.7 | -12.9 | +27.3 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya | 15% | 34% | 4% | 47% | +11.7 | +0.9 | -9.6 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 22% | 34% | 2% | 43% | -1.8 | -7.1 | -0.9 | +9.9 |
| South 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 17% | 25% | 2% | 56% | -6.0 | +13.3 | -1.8 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 13% | 38% | 1% | 48% | -7.7 | -3.1 | +0.2 | +10.7 |
| South 3 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 30% | 1% | 62% | -6.6 | +32.8 | -8.4 | -17.8 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 80% | 0% | 20% | +7.2 | +6.6 | -1.4 | -12.4 |