Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/25 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+79.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +47.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +7.3 | -5.7 | +0.4 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,500 | 30% | 22% | 24% | 24% | +5.6 | -1.6 | -4.1 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 33% | 21% | 22% | 24% | -0.9 | +16.3 | +1.0 | -16.4 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 32% | 31% | 23% | 14% | +1.1 | -23.6 | +0.8 | +21.8 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 16% | 23% | 27% | -4.2 | +23.3 | -17.0 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 30% | 31% | 12% | 26% | +3.2 | +5.8 | -0.5 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 37% | 13% | 19% | +8.5 | -2.7 | -3.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 16% | +47.9 | -20.2 | -13.6 | -14.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 5,200 | 90% | 6% | 1% | 3% | -5.8 | +13.7 | -3.3 | -4.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 86% | 10% | 2% | 3% | +1.9 | -3.6 | +4.0 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 91% | 4% | 2% | 3% | +6.5 | +2.0 | -10.6 | +2.2 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,900 from Hinata Aiko | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -0.3 | -0.5 | -6.3 | +7.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +9.2 | +1.1 | -3.2 | -7.2 |