Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
4/25 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+79.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +49.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 26% | 23% | 26% | +9.0 | -3.5 | -2.2 | -3.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,500 | 32% | 24% | 22% | 23% | +5.3 | -2.0 | 0.0 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 35% | 23% | 22% | 21% | -4.4 | +13.8 | +1.8 | -11.3 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 30% | 31% | 23% | 15% | +3.2 | -21.6 | -0.7 | +19.1 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 17% | 23% | 27% | -3.2 | +21.7 | -15.1 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 30% | 12% | 24% | +3.1 | +5.7 | -2.8 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 36% | 12% | 19% | +5.9 | -2.2 | -1.4 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 18% | +49.0 | -20.1 | -12.2 | -16.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 5,200 | 89% | 6% | 3% | 3% | -5.3 | +13.3 | -5.2 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 86% | 9% | 2% | 3% | +2.0 | -3.0 | +3.9 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 91% | 4% | 2% | 2% | +5.9 | +2.2 | -11.2 | +3.1 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,900 from Aiko Hinata | 98% | 1% | 0% | 2% | +0.1 | -1.1 | -5.8 | +6.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +9.4 | +1.0 | -3.1 | -7.3 |