Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
4/27 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+51.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +55.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 28% | 25% | 23% | 24% | -4.1 | -0.6 | +3.9 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 23% | 24% | 27% | 26% | -7.1 | +8.6 | +0.9 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 19% | 30% | 27% | 23% | 0.0 | -4.1 | +0.6 | +3.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 26% | 29% | 26% | +4.3 | -3.5 | -6.8 | +5.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 24% | 23% | 31% | -7.3 | -4.5 | +24.8 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 16% | 21% | 43% | 20% | -3.0 | -4.5 | +8.4 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 17% | 52% | 19% | +7.1 | -8.2 | -2.6 | +3.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 11% | 49% | 22% | +3.8 | -0.3 | -3.8 | +0.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 20% | 13% | 48% | 19% | +55.7 | -0.3 | -15.6 | -39.9 |