Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/27 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+51.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +55.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -1.7 | +0.3 | +3.8 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 25% | 23% | 28% | 25% | -10.2 | +10.0 | +0.5 | -0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 17% | 31% | 27% | 25% | +2.5 | -6.5 | +0.1 | +3.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 20% | 25% | 28% | 27% | +3.1 | -2.6 | -6.5 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 23% | 22% | 32% | -7.6 | -4.1 | +23.9 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 16% | 20% | 42% | 22% | -1.1 | -4.7 | +6.1 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 14% | 17% | 48% | 21% | +4.2 | -8.0 | +1.4 | +2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 11% | 51% | 22% | +4.9 | +1.1 | -5.7 | -0.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 20% | 14% | 46% | 20% | +55.8 | -1.3 | -14.3 | -40.2 |