Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/28 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +27.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +5.9 | -1.8 | -1.4 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 31% | 21% | 24% | 23% | -26.8 | +27.6 | -1.4 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 1,500 | 13% | 42% | 22% | 22% | -2.1 | +7.5 | -3.8 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 50% | 19% | 20% | -4.0 | -12.7 | -8.9 | +25.5 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 10% | 36% | 15% | 40% | -0.5 | +0.6 | -7.9 | +7.8 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 35% | 9% | 48% | -5.9 | -4.5 | +26.0 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 9% | 34% | 25% | 33% | -4.9 | +1.0 | -23.8 | +27.7 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 2% | 27% | 7% | 63% | +4.9 | -7.9 | -19.1 | +22.1 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 6% | 2% | 92% | -14.1 | -10.6 | +30.6 | -5.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 5% | 8% | 87% | -3.3 | +4.3 | +2.9 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 9% | 10% | 82% | +11.7 | -21.0 | +1.8 | +7.4 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +20.2 | -28.5 | +8.5 | -0.3 |