Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
4/28 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+59.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +46.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 5,800 from Shibukawa Namba | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +14.8 | -12.9 | 0.0 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 36% | 17% | 23% | 24% | -7.3 | +15.8 | -5.4 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 29% | 26% | 22% | 22% | -2.0 | +5.5 | -1.9 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 30% | 20% | 21% | -3.0 | +5.9 | -1.5 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 34% | 19% | 20% | -2.6 | -10.9 | +18.7 | -5.2 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 32% | 18% | -7.8 | -7.4 | -17.8 | +33.0 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 21% | 20% | 18% | 41% | -0.9 | -1.6 | +19.3 | -16.8 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 21% | 33% | 27% | -5.7 | +46.4 | -3.5 | -37.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 9% | 62% | 24% | 6% | +9.7 | -1.3 | -4.3 | -4.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 65% | 19% | 5% | -3.0 | +13.7 | -7.9 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 5% | 87% | 4% | 4% | +12.7 | +7.8 | -11.4 | -9.1 |