Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
5/1 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +44.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 6,400 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -3.1 | -17.2 | +18.8 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 18,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 23% | 16% | 36% | 25% | -4.4 | +47.4 | -0.7 | -42.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 6,000 | 15% | 47% | 32% | 6% | -3.8 | +15.7 | -7.7 | -4.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 61% | 22% | 4% | -0.7 | -7.4 | -0.9 | +9.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 13% | 56% | 24% | 7% | +5.2 | +2.2 | -7.1 | -0.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 15% | 60% | 18% | 7% | -3.9 | +0.8 | +10.3 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 61% | 24% | 3% | +32.5 | -12.3 | -14.1 | -6.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 6,000 | 38% | 45% | 16% | 2% | +20.0 | -9.3 | -6.8 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 59% | 30% | 10% | 1% | -17.5 | +25.0 | -4.5 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 60% | 7% | 1% | +27.4 | -19.9 | -5.4 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 72% | 24% | 3% | 1% | -8.2 | -10.1 | +23.6 | -5.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 65% | 20% | 15% | 1% | -22.6 | -16.7 | +44.8 | -5.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 27% | 9% | 64% | 0% | +9.7 | -6.6 | -1.9 | -1.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,400 from Nakabayashi Kei | 34% | 4% | 62% | 0% | -10.7 | +1.9 | +5.4 | +3.3 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Draw | 19% | 5% | 76% | 0% | -2.6 | -5.7 | +10.8 | -2.5 |