Game · 2022-23 Semifinals

5/1 Game 2

Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +31.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance	Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance	Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance	Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance	Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change	Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change	Suzuki Yu Expected pt change	Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change
East 1	Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro	25%	24%	26%	25%	+0.3	-11.0	+9.3	+1.4
East 2	Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	25%	19%	31%	26%	-0.3	-3.7	+26.6	-22.5
East 3	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro	21%	13%	55%	11%	-0.7	-9.6	-0.6	+10.9
East 4	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 7,800	20%	10%	55%	16%	-7.4	-9.1	-8.4	+24.9
East 4, 1 honba	Draw	16%	7%	45%	33%	-1.8	+2.1	-2.9	+2.6
East 4, 2 honba	Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki	16%	8%	42%	34%	-6.8	-2.3	+10.6	-1.5
South 1	Draw	11%	6%	53%	30%	+5.3	+0.9	-1.6	-4.5
South 1, 1 honba	Kurosawa Saki ron 2,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro	13%	7%	52%	27%	+9.1	-5.6	-2.4	-1.1
South 1, 2 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu	19%	6%	50%	26%	-4.9	-3.6	-12.0	+20.5
South 2	Draw	13%	5%	35%	48%	-3.6	+4.9	-4.8	+3.5
South 2, 1 honba	Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki	11%	6%	30%	54%	-21.3	-4.0	+31.6	-6.4
South 3	Suzuki Yu ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki	1%	0%	66%	33%	-6.2	+2.5	+4.8	-1.0
South 3, 1 honba	Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	0%	0%	71%	28%	+1.0	-0.2	+12.7	-13.5
South 3, 2 honba	Draw	0%	0%	89%	11%	-6.4	+8.5	-1.2	-0.8
South 4, 3 honba	Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,100	0%	0%	91%	9%	-6.3	+4.1	+6.5	-4.2

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)