Game · 2022-23 Semifinal Series
5/1 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 23% | 24% | 26% | -4.4 | -9.0 | +11.4 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 21% | 19% | 32% | 28% | +3.6 | -1.9 | +24.8 | -26.6 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 21% | 13% | 54% | 11% | -1.2 | -12.4 | +0.9 | +12.7 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 19% | 9% | 56% | 16% | -8.4 | -7.6 | -9.1 | +25.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 7% | 45% | 32% | -0.6 | +1.3 | -2.9 | +2.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 14% | 7% | 44% | 35% | -6.2 | -2.4 | +10.5 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 6% | 53% | 30% | +3.7 | +2.5 | -2.0 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 13% | 8% | 52% | 27% | +10.0 | -9.3 | -0.4 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 18% | 4% | 52% | 26% | -5.3 | -0.3 | -13.0 | +18.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 4% | 35% | 47% | -1.9 | +3.3 | -5.8 | +4.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 12% | 5% | 30% | 54% | -22.5 | -2.7 | +29.8 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 1% | 0% | 63% | 36% | -6.1 | +2.8 | +7.6 | -4.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 0% | 73% | 26% | +0.6 | +0.4 | +11.3 | -12.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 88% | 11% | -6.9 | +7.6 | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 91% | 9% | -5.8 | +4.3 | +6.2 | -4.6 |