Game · 2022-23 Semifinals
5/2 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +22.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +4.6 | -1.8 | -3.2 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +22.2 | -6.4 | -8.5 | -7.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu | 44% | 18% | 18% | 19% | +17.2 | -19.1 | +0.6 | +1.3 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 59% | 9% | 16% | 16% | 0.0 | -8.8 | +10.0 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 60% | 6% | 19% | 15% | +1.6 | -2.7 | +20.0 | -18.9 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 60% | 3% | 30% | 7% | +18.7 | +1.0 | -21.1 | +1.5 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 83% | 3% | 9% | 5% | -2.9 | -0.8 | +9.5 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 82% | 2% | 13% | 3% | +8.1 | -8.5 | -1.9 | +2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Suzuki Yu | 89% | 1% | 9% | 2% | +6.9 | -8.3 | -0.3 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 92% | 0% | 6% | 1% | -12.4 | +12.4 | +2.6 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 86% | 1% | 11% | 2% | +2.7 | -3.4 | 0.0 | +0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 91% | 0% | 7% | 2% | +2.0 | +3.0 | -3.9 | -1.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Suzuki Yu | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | +1.1 | -8.1 | +5.6 | +1.3 |