Game · 2024-25 Final Series
5/5 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -12.8 | +13.0 | -1.9 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 33% | 23% | 28% | -2.4 | -4.5 | +10.1 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 29% | 32% | 25% | +17.6 | -2.7 | -12.6 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 27% | 28% | 21% | 24% | +10.9 | -2.7 | -1.5 | -6.8 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 34% | 28% | 20% | 19% | -2.5 | -30.4 | +32.8 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 9% | 46% | 17% | -5.0 | +18.6 | -6.1 | -7.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 27% | 17% | 42% | 14% | -31.5 | -6.0 | +35.0 | +2.5 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 3% | 87% | 8% | -12.4 | +39.8 | -18.4 | -9.0 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 34% | 59% | 6% | -6.7 | -12.4 | +20.7 | -1.6 |