Game · 2024-25 Finals
5/5 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -15.8 | +13.3 | +1.2 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 34% | 26% | 25% | -0.3 | -4.0 | +4.3 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 31% | 29% | 26% | +19.7 | -2.2 | -12.0 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 28% | 30% | 21% | 22% | +10.2 | -6.7 | +1.0 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 36% | 25% | 21% | 17% | -2.6 | -28.7 | +31.3 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 6,000 | 29% | 8% | 47% | 16% | -5.4 | +18.2 | -7.4 | -5.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 28% | 18% | 40% | 15% | -33.3 | -3.0 | +35.6 | +0.8 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 4% | 85% | 8% | -10.7 | +38.7 | -18.0 | -9.9 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 36% | 58% | 6% | -7.3 | -13.2 | +21.0 | -0.5 |