Game · 2024-25 Final Series
5/5 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 1,300 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +20.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 24% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -21.9 | -0.1 | +23.5 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 23% | 44% | 22% | +0.3 | -6.1 | -1.1 | +6.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 11% | 18% | 43% | 28% | -1.2 | -0.1 | -7.6 | +8.8 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 10% | 19% | 35% | 36% | +21.1 | +3.6 | -22.1 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 23% | 22% | 21% | 34% | -9.7 | -4.1 | +0.3 | +13.5 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,500 | 15% | 17% | 19% | 48% | -1.7 | +6.0 | -2.8 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 22% | 19% | 46% | +7.8 | -3.6 | -4.1 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,300 from Sayaka Kayamori | 19% | 18% | 17% | 46% | -0.6 | -12.6 | -7.5 | +20.6 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 9% | 6% | 6% | 79% | -9.9 | +22.0 | -19.9 | +7.7 |