Game · 2024-25 Finals
5/5 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +19.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -25.4 | +2.1 | +23.6 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 11% | 23% | 42% | 24% | +0.5 | -4.1 | -2.4 | +6.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 11% | 20% | 40% | 29% | +0.2 | -1.0 | -4.3 | +5.1 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 11% | 19% | 37% | 32% | +21.8 | +0.6 | -23.2 | +0.9 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 24% | 20% | 21% | 35% | -11.9 | +0.1 | +0.4 | +11.5 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 13% | 20% | 20% | 47% | -2.1 | +5.5 | -2.4 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 23% | 18% | 47% | +9.2 | -5.7 | -5.4 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka | 18% | 19% | 16% | 47% | -1.3 | -11.2 | -6.9 | +19.4 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 9% | 7% | 6% | 79% | -8.9 | +20.7 | -19.5 | +7.7 |