Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Final Series

5/6 Game 1

Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+70.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +34.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Hiroshi Daigo● Yu Suzuki● Ken Sonoda● Saki Kurosawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Hiroshi● Yu● Ken● Saki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Saki Kurosawa
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Saki Kurosawa
Expected pt change
East 1Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa25%24%25%27%-0.6+19.6+1.5-20.5
East 2Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,00023%37%25%15%-11.8+32.2-13.2-7.2
East 2, 1 honbaKen Sonoda ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa11%68%13%8%+1.7+0.8+7.9-10.3
East 3Exhaustive draw10%70%15%5%+2.4+0.5+1.9-4.8
East 3, 1 honbaKen Sonoda ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa11%70%15%4%-2.4-3.7+26.3-20.2
East 3, 2 honbaHiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,0009%60%29%2%+12.5-0.1-9.1-3.3
East 4Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki15%62%22%1%-0.9-5.7+3.3+3.2
East 4, 1 honbaSaki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo16%56%27%1%-25.9+2.9+3.5+19.5
East 4, 2 honbaHiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,0006%61%30%4%+28.6-5.2-8.0-15.4
South 1Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki17%57%25%1%+34.8-35.9-0.4+1.5
South 1, 1 honbaKen Sonoda ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo53%19%26%2%-27.0-2.2+31.6-2.3
South 2Exhaustive draw20%16%63%1%-3.3+6.7-4.5+1.1
South 2, 1 honbaHiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa20%22%57%1%+29.9-11.1-7.3-11.4
South 3Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,00050%9%41%0%+28.1-7.1-18.9-2.0
South 4Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki94%1%5%0%+4.8-4.7+1.4-1.5

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)