Game · 2024-25 Final Series
5/6 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+70.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +34.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -0.6 | +19.6 | +1.5 | -20.5 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | -11.8 | +32.2 | -13.2 | -7.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 11% | 68% | 13% | 8% | +1.7 | +0.8 | +7.9 | -10.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 70% | 15% | 5% | +2.4 | +0.5 | +1.9 | -4.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 11% | 70% | 15% | 4% | -2.4 | -3.7 | +26.3 | -20.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 60% | 29% | 2% | +12.5 | -0.1 | -9.1 | -3.3 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 15% | 62% | 22% | 1% | -0.9 | -5.7 | +3.3 | +3.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 16% | 56% | 27% | 1% | -25.9 | +2.9 | +3.5 | +19.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 61% | 30% | 4% | +28.6 | -5.2 | -8.0 | -15.4 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 17% | 57% | 25% | 1% | +34.8 | -35.9 | -0.4 | +1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 53% | 19% | 26% | 2% | -27.0 | -2.2 | +31.6 | -2.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 16% | 63% | 1% | -3.3 | +6.7 | -4.5 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 20% | 22% | 57% | 1% | +29.9 | -11.1 | -7.3 | -11.4 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 9% | 41% | 0% | +28.1 | -7.1 | -18.9 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 94% | 1% | 5% | 0% | +4.8 | -4.7 | +1.4 | -1.5 |