Game · 2024-25 Final Series
5/6 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +43.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +43.0 | -15.3 | -14.0 | -13.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 61% | 12% | 13% | 14% | -14.6 | +3.2 | +1.0 | +10.4 |
| East 2 | Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 48% | 17% | 15% | 19% | +2.5 | -6.1 | -19.1 | +22.7 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,700 | 47% | 10% | 8% | 35% | +12.2 | -0.7 | -7.7 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Takaki Asai | 61% | 8% | 4% | 27% | +8.7 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -7.7 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,900 from Takaki Asai | 74% | 6% | 3% | 17% | +8.2 | +0.7 | -0.5 | -8.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 5% | 2% | 10% | -6.4 | -10.6 | +21.3 | -4.2 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 80% | 4% | 6% | 10% | -12.1 | +38.0 | -12.9 | -13.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 21% | 5% | 9% | +2.7 | +1.8 | +4.6 | -9.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 69% | 21% | 5% | 6% | -25.5 | +2.4 | -5.3 | +28.4 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Maki Asami | 39% | 31% | 7% | 23% | +15.0 | -2.2 | -8.9 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,100 | 63% | 21% | 1% | 15% | +17.9 | -2.6 | -2.5 | -12.8 |