Game · 2024-25 Finals
5/6 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +43.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +43.7 | -14.4 | -12.9 | -16.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asai Takaki ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 60% | 13% | 14% | 12% | -12.8 | -0.8 | -3.3 | +16.8 |
| East 2 | Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 48% | 15% | 14% | 23% | +0.8 | -4.0 | -16.9 | +20.1 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,700 | 48% | 9% | 7% | 36% | +9.9 | +0.6 | -5.5 | -5.0 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Asai Takaki | 60% | 9% | 3% | 28% | +10.2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | -8.2 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,900 from Asai Takaki | 72% | 7% | 3% | 17% | +9.1 | -0.9 | +0.2 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 84% | 5% | 2% | 9% | -6.9 | -8.1 | +20.3 | -5.3 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 80% | 4% | 6% | 10% | -12.7 | +35.2 | -10.9 | -11.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 66% | 19% | 5% | 10% | +3.6 | +3.8 | +1.4 | -8.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 68% | 21% | 5% | 6% | -25.3 | +1.0 | -4.4 | +28.7 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Asami Maki | 40% | 29% | 7% | 24% | +14.7 | -1.2 | -8.6 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,100 | 65% | 20% | 1% | 15% | +17.7 | -2.6 | -2.5 | -12.6 |