Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Final Series

5/8 Game 2

Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +32.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Taro Suzuki● Genta Takeuchi● Yu Suzuki● Masato Hagiwara0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Taro● Genta● Yu● Masato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGenta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi24%24%26%26%-23.3-0.4-0.1+23.8
East 2Genta Takeuchi ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki10%23%23%44%+7.1-9.9+1.4+1.5
East 3Genta Takeuchi ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki13%16%24%47%+19.2-0.5-5.2-13.4
East 4Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara26%18%21%34%-0.9+16.1-14.9-0.3
South 1Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi24%27%14%34%-10.0+2.1-5.7+13.5
South 2Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki14%27%10%49%-0.4-10.6-2.5+13.5
South 3Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara11%14%8%67%-4.1+33.6-23.5-6.0
South 4Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,0004%47%0%49%-6.0-22.2-4.5+32.7
South 4, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi tsumo 1,1000%3%0%97%+0.4+1.1-0.6-1.0

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)