Game · 2024-25 Finals
5/9 Game 1
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+79.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +19.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -1.9 | +19.8 | -19.4 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 40% | 14% | 26% | -6.0 | +15.9 | -4.8 | -5.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Takeuchi Genta | 16% | 54% | 10% | 20% | +3.0 | -0.8 | +8.6 | -10.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 17% | 55% | 14% | 15% | -2.5 | +1.9 | -5.7 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 16% | 57% | 10% | 17% | -21.7 | +19.5 | +3.0 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 4% | 80% | 7% | 9% | +29.7 | -0.6 | -27.4 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 78% | 2% | 9% | -5.2 | +6.3 | +0.9 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 7,700 from Kobayashi Go | 5% | 88% | 2% | 5% | +0.1 | +13.7 | -14.1 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 96% | 1% | 3% | -1.5 | +5.7 | -1.2 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +6.5 | -0.5 | -5.1 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +3.8 | -0.4 | -2.4 | -1.0 |
| South 4 | Win | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +1.7 | -1.3 | +8.4 | -8.8 |