Game · 2024-25 Finals
5/9 Game 2
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+63.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 6,000, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +27.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -13.3 | 0.0 | -0.1 | +13.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 17% | 25% | 23% | 36% | -2.0 | +7.1 | -1.4 | -3.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 16% | 30% | 22% | 32% | -9.6 | -5.6 | -1.6 | +16.8 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 10% | 23% | 20% | 47% | -1.1 | +3.1 | -12.7 | +10.6 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 22% | 12% | 58% | +24.3 | -5.7 | -6.4 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Win | 21% | 22% | 10% | 47% | -1.6 | +3.5 | -2.8 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 19% | 24% | 9% | 48% | +0.8 | -11.2 | -1.1 | +11.5 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 7,800 | 15% | 11% | 8% | 65% | -10.0 | -12.4 | +29.9 | -7.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 13% | 9% | 22% | 56% | -1.6 | -28.5 | +41.8 | -11.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 6% | 0% | 66% | 28% | -2.6 | -8.2 | 0.0 | +10.8 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 0% | 67% | 32% | -2.3 | -2.0 | -23.2 | +27.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 0% | 15% | 85% | -1.0 | +0.1 | -4.5 | +5.4 |