Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Finals

5/12 Game 2

Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+74.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +40.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Suzuki Taro● Honda Tomohiro● Daigo Hiroshi● Suzuki Yu0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Suzuki● Honda● Daigo● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHonda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro26%24%26%24%-10.6+1.8+5.2+3.6
East 2Suzuki Yu ron 3,200 from Honda Tomohiro18%26%28%27%-5.5-7.2+2.9+9.8
East 3Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro16%20%30%34%-9.8+1.4-2.5+10.9
East 4Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro11%19%25%44%-8.9-0.7-1.5+11.2
East 4, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 18,000 from Daigo Hiroshi7%17%22%54%+4.0-40.4-0.9+37.3
East 4, 2 honbaDaigo Hiroshi tsumo 2,7002%1%8%88%-4.4+7.3-0.5-2.5
South 1Draw2%1%8%89%+3.6-4.1-2.5+3.0
South 1, 1 honbaSuzuki Taro tsumo 8,0002%1%6%91%-8.6-5.3+17.5-3.7
South 2Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro0%1%12%87%+4.3-4.6-2.5+2.8
South 3Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Daigo Hiroshi0%0%7%93%+3.6-17.1+19.2-5.7
South 3, 1 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu0%0%22%78%-1.1-0.3+40.2-38.8
South 3, 2 honbaSuzuki Yu tsumo 8,0000%0%88%12%-0.8-2.3-10.5+13.6
South 4Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu0%0%76%25%+0.3+8.2+10.4-18.8

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)