Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Final Series

5/12 Game 2

Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+74.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +40.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Taro Suzuki● Tomohiro Honda● Hiroshi Daigo● Yu Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Taro● Tomohiro● Hiroshi● Yu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda26%24%24%26%-10.0+1.0+8.4+0.6
East 2Yu Suzuki ron 3,200 from Tomohiro Honda19%25%30%27%-6.7-3.2-0.8+10.6
East 3Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda15%21%29%35%-7.2+0.1-1.4+8.5
East 4Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda11%20%27%41%-11.7-2.2+0.2+13.8
East 4, 1 honbaYu Suzuki ron 18,000 from Hiroshi Daigo6%16%24%54%+5.2-39.4-2.8+37.0
East 4, 2 honbaHiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,7002%1%8%89%-3.7+5.5-0.4-1.4
South 1Exhaustive draw2%1%7%91%+4.1-2.9-3.0+1.8
South 1, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 8,0002%1%6%92%-10.2-4.5+17.7-3.0
South 2Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki0%1%11%88%+4.8-5.2-1.4+1.8
South 3Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo0%0%8%92%+4.1-17.2+18.4-5.3
South 3, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki0%0%22%79%-1.6+0.5+40.2-39.1
South 3, 2 honbaYu Suzuki tsumo 8,0000%0%88%12%-1.1-2.8-11.1+15.1
South 4Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki0%0%74%26%+0.5+8.1+11.4-20.1

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)