Game · 2024-25 Final Series
5/13 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+51.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +28.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -3.4 | +4.0 | +1.1 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,200 from Yu Suzuki | 22% | 28% | 25% | 25% | -7.2 | -2.4 | +8.1 | +1.5 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 25% | 30% | 26% | +11.8 | -10.7 | -1.2 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Yu Suzuki | 26% | 19% | 28% | 27% | -21.6 | +19.7 | +4.2 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 13% | 31% | 32% | 24% | -2.0 | +28.6 | -26.8 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 64% | 12% | 18% | +5.6 | -2.8 | -1.0 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 63% | 12% | 17% | +1.3 | -1.1 | +5.8 | -6.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 62% | 14% | 15% | +40.6 | -7.3 | -22.2 | -11.1 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 40% | 48% | 2% | 10% | -41.7 | +23.1 | +40.3 | -21.6 |