Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Finals

5/13 Game 1

Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+51.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +29.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Sonoda Ken● Suzuki Yu● Daigo Hiroshi● Hagiwara Masato0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Sonoda● Suzuki● Daigo● Hagiwara
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSuzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
East 1Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,50025%25%24%25%-3.4+2.6-0.2+1.1
East 2Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,200 from Suzuki Yu21%27%24%27%-6.8-0.1+8.8-1.9
East 3Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken18%25%32%25%+12.8-12.0-2.0+1.2
East 4Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Suzuki Yu26%19%28%27%-20.9+20.2+3.2-2.5
South 1Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi13%33%32%22%-3.6+29.5-28.0+2.1
South 2Draw7%64%10%19%+4.4-1.6+1.5-4.4
South 3, 1 honbaDraw7%66%12%16%+3.8-5.5+6.0-4.3
South 3, 2 honbaSuzuki Yu tsumo 8,00010%58%15%17%+38.3-4.2-21.3-12.8
South 4Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu39%50%2%9%-40.7+22.7+38.9-20.8

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)