Game · 2024-25 Finals
5/13 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+73.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +46.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +46.7 | -17.2 | -17.0 | -12.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 62% | 12% | 12% | 13% | +21.5 | -6.2 | -6.9 | -8.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 83% | 6% | 6% | 6% | -1.9 | -1.8 | -2.6 | +6.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 81% | 5% | 5% | 8% | +2.8 | -3.3 | +2.0 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 86% | 3% | 5% | 6% | -0.8 | -1.3 | +3.1 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 85% | 3% | 6% | 7% | +16.2 | +2.0 | -19.6 | +1.3 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 96% | 1% | 1% | 2% | -2.8 | -7.8 | +26.2 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 97% | 1% | 2% | 1% | -1.1 | -12.1 | +13.1 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 96% | 0% | 2% | 1% | -7.4 | +41.8 | -17.8 | -16.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 93% | 4% | 2% | 1% | -1.3 | -3.0 | +5.4 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 96% | 0% | 3% | 1% | +1.6 | -20.0 | +4.9 | +13.5 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.6 | +2.2 | +17.1 | -19.9 |