Game · 2024-25 Finals
5/15 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+101.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Suzuki Yu tsumo 24,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +54.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 24,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +54.6 | -17.5 | -18.6 | -18.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 71% | 10% | 10% | 10% | -1.3 | -2.4 | -3.0 | +6.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 71% | 9% | 8% | 12% | +1.4 | -12.8 | +0.3 | +11.1 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 72% | 4% | 8% | 16% | -7.6 | -8.3 | +31.3 | -15.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 65% | 3% | 22% | 10% | -0.1 | +16.8 | -12.1 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Takeuchi Genta ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 67% | 7% | 15% | 10% | -4.3 | -24.0 | -0.5 | +28.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 60% | 2% | 14% | 24% | -0.9 | 0.0 | +4.4 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 3,000 | 60% | 3% | 17% | 20% | +13.1 | -1.9 | -6.8 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 75% | 2% | 10% | 14% | +21.0 | +2.3 | -24.4 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 93% | 0% | 1% | 5% | +16.3 | -19.2 | +2.9 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Watanabe Futoshi | 98% | 0% | 1% | 2% | +7.2 | -8.0 | +0.6 | +0.2 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.3 | +12.9 | -14.8 | +2.2 |
| South 2 | Takeuchi Genta ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.9 | -2.1 | -0.6 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +1.8 | -1.6 | -1.6 | +1.4 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.1 | -2.3 | +4.8 | -2.4 |