Game · 2024-25 Final Series
5/15 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+101.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yu Suzuki tsumo 24,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +57.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 24,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +57.0 | -20.5 | -18.9 | -17.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 73% | 9% | 9% | 9% | -2.6 | -2.0 | -2.6 | +7.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 72% | 8% | 8% | 11% | +0.9 | -11.9 | +1.4 | +9.7 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 74% | 4% | 8% | 14% | -9.1 | -10.2 | +29.8 | -10.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 64% | 3% | 22% | 12% | -0.7 | +17.3 | -10.5 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 67% | 7% | 16% | 11% | -3.0 | -23.6 | -1.8 | +28.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 2% | 14% | 24% | -1.0 | +0.5 | +5.3 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 61% | 2% | 17% | 20% | +13.8 | -2.5 | -7.0 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 76% | 1% | 10% | 12% | +19.2 | +4.8 | -25.2 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 92% | 1% | 1% | 6% | +17.4 | -20.3 | +3.2 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Futoshi Watanabe | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +7.2 | -9.1 | +0.8 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.6 | +13.8 | -15.0 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.2 | -2.0 | -1.2 | +3.0 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +2.7 | -2.5 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.4 | -2.0 | +4.6 | -2.2 |