Game · 2024-25 Final Series
5/16 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 6 honba: Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +38.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -5.5 | -2.1 | +9.3 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 23% | 31% | 25% | +14.0 | -7.1 | -3.2 | -3.7 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaki Asai | 31% | 18% | 29% | 22% | +1.0 | -31.2 | -4.4 | +34.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 4% | 21% | 47% | -4.8 | +1.7 | -1.9 | +5.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 5% | 19% | 53% | +40.0 | -7.3 | -9.7 | -23.0 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 65% | 2% | 10% | 23% | -5.3 | -2.2 | +13.7 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 4,000 | 62% | 2% | 18% | 19% | +13.5 | -7.5 | -4.7 | -1.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 79% | 0% | 10% | 11% | -3.2 | -0.9 | +7.2 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 75% | 0% | 13% | 12% | -8.4 | -2.9 | +18.6 | -7.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 62% | 0% | 29% | 9% | -13.9 | -2.1 | +21.8 | -5.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 0% | 62% | 6% | +4.7 | +1.0 | -4.0 | -1.7 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 38% | 0% | 57% | 5% | +10.6 | -1.5 | -10.4 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaki Asai | 59% | 0% | 35% | 6% | -3.0 | -13.8 | -7.6 | +24.4 |
| South 4, 6 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 56% | 0% | 26% | 18% | -21.2 | -0.5 | +38.5 | -16.8 |