Game · 2024-25 Finals
5/16 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 6 honba: Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -6.6 | -2.7 | +7.7 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 23% | 31% | 25% | +14.0 | -6.3 | -3.1 | -4.6 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 31% | 18% | 28% | 23% | +0.6 | -31.9 | -2.9 | +34.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 28% | 4% | 21% | 47% | -2.7 | +3.2 | -3.4 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 5% | 19% | 50% | +40.1 | -8.3 | -8.9 | -22.9 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 67% | 2% | 11% | 20% | -7.4 | -3.2 | +13.2 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,000 | 62% | 2% | 17% | 19% | +12.6 | -6.7 | -3.4 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 77% | 0% | 11% | 12% | -1.5 | -1.0 | +6.3 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000 | 75% | 0% | 13% | 12% | -9.5 | -2.5 | +19.8 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000 | 60% | 0% | 32% | 9% | -12.7 | -2.0 | +19.8 | -5.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 35% | 0% | 59% | 6% | +4.8 | +0.8 | -3.4 | -2.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Draw | 39% | 0% | 56% | 5% | +11.0 | -1.5 | -11.0 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 61% | 0% | 33% | 6% | -4.7 | -13.9 | -5.1 | +23.7 |
| South 4, 6 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,000 | 54% | 0% | 29% | 17% | -20.4 | -0.7 | +37.0 | -15.9 |