Game · 2024-25 Finals
5/16 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +9.4 | +1.8 | -11.7 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 32% | 25% | 18% | 26% | -0.3 | -0.3 | +13.8 | -13.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 31% | 25% | 25% | 19% | -4.6 | +1.2 | -3.6 | +7.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 28% | 27% | 23% | 23% | -14.4 | -4.5 | +17.3 | +1.6 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 22% | 35% | 24% | -1.6 | +9.4 | -4.7 | -3.1 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 30% | 31% | 23% | -0.3 | +5.3 | +2.1 | -7.1 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 18% | 33% | 34% | 15% | -4.9 | +18.0 | -12.4 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 11% | 53% | 22% | 15% | -6.1 | +4.7 | -4.4 | +5.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 8% | 58% | 17% | 17% | -22.2 | -0.7 | -4.9 | +27.8 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 7,700 from Nakabayashi Kei | 1% | 55% | 11% | 33% | +0.3 | +0.1 | +28.1 | -28.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 1% | 56% | 30% | 13% | +7.0 | -12.8 | +35.0 | -29.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 22% | 76% | 2% | +0.9 | +2.8 | -0.5 | -3.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 21% | 78% | 2% | +6.7 | -11.7 | +15.9 | -10.9 |