Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/6 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+74.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Aki Nikaido tsumo 16,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +2.4 | +0.6 | -5.2 | +2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 26% | 22% | 26% | +12.0 | -3.3 | -5.3 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 34% | 24% | 18% | 24% | -10.4 | +0.7 | +1.8 | +7.8 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 16,000 | 25% | 26% | 19% | 30% | +44.6 | -21.7 | -11.7 | -11.2 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,600 from Genta Takeuchi | 66% | 8% | 10% | 16% | +6.2 | -6.7 | -1.1 | +1.6 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 74% | 5% | 6% | 15% | +14.3 | -1.1 | -2.7 | -10.5 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 90% | 3% | 3% | 4% | -6.5 | -7.6 | +20.2 | -6.2 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 6,000 | 86% | 3% | 6% | 5% | -3.9 | +13.9 | -5.5 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 83% | 5% | 7% | 5% | +3.7 | -1.6 | -27.1 | +25.0 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 90% | 0% | 3% | 7% | +14.3 | +12.4 | -4.9 | -21.9 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,100 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.9 | -6.4 | -1.5 | +8.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 1,100 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +0.3 | +17.0 | -6.3 | -11.0 |