Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/6 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+74.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nikaido Aki tsumo 16,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +43.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +0.7 | +4.3 | -6.4 | +1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 28% | 22% | 26% | +11.8 | -3.3 | -2.8 | -5.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 33% | 25% | 20% | 22% | -10.4 | -2.6 | -0.9 | +13.9 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 23% | 19% | 32% | +43.0 | -21.3 | -9.7 | -12.0 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,600 from Takeuchi Genta | 64% | 8% | 10% | 18% | +8.5 | -5.9 | -1.8 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 73% | 5% | 7% | 15% | +13.1 | -1.2 | -1.1 | -10.9 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 88% | 3% | 4% | 5% | -5.8 | -8.5 | +18.6 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 6,000 | 85% | 2% | 7% | 5% | -2.6 | +15.2 | -4.2 | -8.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 85% | 4% | 7% | 3% | +3.3 | -2.8 | -28.6 | +28.0 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 90% | 0% | 2% | 8% | +13.6 | +12.4 | -5.1 | -20.9 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,100 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.7 | -6.4 | -1.8 | +8.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 1,100 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.2 | +18.0 | -5.9 | -12.3 |