Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/6 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 27% | 24% | -13.8 | +25.3 | -6.5 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 16% | 42% | 21% | 20% | -0.3 | -12.6 | +0.8 | +12.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 32% | 23% | 29% | -0.5 | -0.3 | +4.0 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 33% | 24% | 27% | +38.9 | -10.6 | -18.8 | -9.5 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 45% | 22% | 12% | 20% | +0.6 | -32.1 | +33.5 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 45% | 8% | 32% | 16% | -40.3 | -2.6 | +4.0 | +38.9 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 11% | 6% | 34% | 49% | -0.3 | -7.7 | +25.1 | -17.1 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 1% | 68% | 24% | +54.2 | -7.7 | -28.4 | -18.1 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 7,800 | 66% | 0% | 20% | 13% | -17.1 | -4.2 | -16.3 | +37.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 0% | 13% | 50% | -0.5 | +0.6 | -0.6 | +0.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 36% | 0% | 13% | 51% | -7.4 | +1.4 | -4.2 | +10.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 21% | 0% | 9% | 70% | -5.2 | +2.8 | -9.0 | +11.4 |