Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/6 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +40.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -12.5 | +23.4 | -5.5 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 15% | 42% | 21% | 21% | +0.3 | -10.8 | +0.6 | +9.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 34% | 22% | 28% | +1.0 | -3.0 | +4.3 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 31% | 24% | 27% | +37.6 | -8.4 | -18.8 | -10.4 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 45% | 23% | 12% | 19% | -0.5 | -33.0 | +35.3 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 44% | 7% | 35% | 15% | -39.6 | -2.3 | +1.4 | +40.5 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 11% | 7% | 34% | 49% | -2.1 | -7.1 | +27.6 | -18.4 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 1% | 72% | 22% | +55.5 | -8.2 | -30.2 | -17.1 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 7,800 | 65% | 0% | 21% | 14% | -15.9 | -4.0 | -16.7 | +36.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 38% | 0% | 13% | 49% | 0.0 | +0.1 | -1.1 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 0% | 13% | 50% | -8.6 | +1.3 | -3.9 | +11.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 0% | 9% | 71% | -5.0 | +3.0 | -8.9 | +11.0 |