Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/7 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +36.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -8.9 | -8.1 | -6.1 | +23.1 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 17% | 20% | 20% | 43% | -2.3 | -22.5 | +25.9 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,500 | 14% | 9% | 38% | 40% | -3.0 | +0.5 | -3.3 | +5.7 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 8% | 34% | 45% | -5.4 | +18.2 | -3.1 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 12% | 16% | 34% | 39% | +35.0 | +1.4 | +1.5 | -37.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 35% | 18% | 35% | 12% | -28.8 | +28.9 | +0.7 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,700 | 12% | 40% | 35% | 13% | -3.3 | -4.7 | +11.5 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 9% | 33% | 48% | 10% | +1.2 | +36.1 | -32.2 | -5.1 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 2% | 87% | 4% | 7% | +27.1 | +6.0 | -11.9 | -21.2 |