Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/7 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +36.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -9.4 | -7.4 | -3.5 | +20.3 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 17% | 20% | 21% | 43% | -2.7 | -22.9 | +25.2 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,500 | 14% | 7% | 38% | 41% | -0.3 | -1.9 | -4.3 | +6.5 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 6% | 33% | 47% | -9.1 | +21.3 | -1.5 | -10.7 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 11% | 16% | 33% | 40% | +37.7 | +1.4 | -0.9 | -38.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 36% | 18% | 34% | 13% | -29.7 | +30.0 | +1.6 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,700 | 13% | 42% | 34% | 12% | -3.3 | -6.2 | +12.1 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 9% | 33% | 46% | 11% | +0.9 | +36.6 | -31.5 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 2% | 88% | 4% | 6% | +27.2 | +5.8 | -12.4 | -20.6 |