Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/7 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+90.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +39.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 7,800 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 24% | +18.5 | -5.9 | -5.5 | -7.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 39% | 21% | 20% | 20% | -1.4 | -20.0 | +22.4 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 37% | 10% | 34% | 19% | +30.0 | -25.8 | -5.1 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 64% | 2% | 22% | 12% | -9.3 | +0.1 | -0.7 | +10.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 56% | 2% | 23% | 19% | +1.9 | +2.1 | -1.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 60% | 2% | 21% | 17% | -5.1 | -8.3 | +19.2 | -5.8 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 51% | 1% | 36% | 11% | -0.1 | -11.2 | -7.8 | +19.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 52% | 0% | 26% | 22% | -5.3 | -1.5 | +0.9 | +5.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 0% | 28% | 29% | -15.9 | -1.7 | -21.9 | +39.5 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 11% | 0% | 5% | 83% | +0.1 | 0.0 | -19.1 | +19.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -0.4 | -13.5 | +0.4 | +13.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.0 | +0.6 | +0.9 | +1.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.9 | +4.3 | -3.3 | -1.9 |