Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/7 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+90.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +39.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 7,800 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +21.7 | -7.4 | -5.6 | -8.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 42% | 19% | 20% | 20% | -2.0 | -19.0 | +20.0 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 39% | 10% | 32% | 19% | +28.5 | -24.0 | -3.4 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 65% | 2% | 20% | 13% | -10.4 | -2.6 | +1.7 | +11.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 55% | 2% | 24% | 19% | +1.2 | +3.7 | -0.7 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 58% | 2% | 24% | 15% | -3.1 | -8.0 | +16.6 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 52% | 1% | 36% | 11% | -1.7 | -11.7 | -7.8 | +21.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 0% | 27% | 24% | -6.0 | -1.2 | +1.7 | +5.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 0% | 30% | 30% | -14.7 | -1.7 | -23.0 | +39.4 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 10% | 0% | 5% | 85% | +0.7 | -0.3 | -18.2 | +17.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -0.7 | -13.3 | +0.3 | +13.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.9 | +0.5 | +0.8 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,300 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.9 | +4.4 | -3.4 | -1.9 |