Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/9 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+61.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +38.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Yu Suzuki | 26% | 26% | 22% | 27% | -16.3 | +0.4 | +0.8 | +15.1 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 16% | 25% | 22% | 37% | +0.8 | +11.6 | +0.4 | -12.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 35% | 23% | 27% | -4.1 | +10.4 | -2.7 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 13% | 42% | 20% | 25% | +1.4 | -1.3 | +10.6 | -10.7 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Genta Takeuchi | 14% | 41% | 28% | 18% | +0.7 | +15.4 | -17.5 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 12% | 58% | 14% | 17% | +3.9 | +4.7 | +1.2 | -9.8 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,900 | 12% | 64% | 13% | 10% | +9.1 | -2.5 | -2.3 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 17% | 61% | 13% | 9% | +13.7 | -3.2 | -1.6 | -8.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 56% | 12% | 6% | -21.2 | -9.0 | +38.3 | -8.0 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 12% | 44% | 40% | 4% | +5.1 | -6.3 | +3.0 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 14% | 38% | 44% | 4% | -4.1 | -12.3 | +34.4 | -18.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 9% | 88% | 1% | -1.1 | +4.0 | -3.4 | +0.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 10% | 89% | 1% | -1.4 | -3.0 | +3.5 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 1% | 6% | 92% | 1% | +1.2 | +2.0 | +0.5 | -3.8 |