Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/9 Game 2
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Matsugase Takaya ron 18,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +41.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 27% | 25% | +5.6 | -0.3 | +1.6 | -7.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 29% | 24% | 27% | 21% | -3.7 | +14.8 | -12.2 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Matsugase Takaya ron 18,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 23% | 35% | 19% | 22% | -2.4 | +41.0 | +1.4 | -39.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 71% | 13% | 4% | +0.3 | -5.2 | -4.8 | +9.7 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 18,000 | 16% | 68% | 11% | 5% | -17.0 | -15.7 | +41.6 | -8.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 9% | 47% | 41% | 4% | +11.7 | +4.0 | -11.7 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 54% | 29% | 3% | -1.1 | -3.0 | -0.8 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 52% | 30% | 5% | +24.3 | -5.1 | -6.7 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 29% | 45% | 24% | 1% | +9.5 | -0.1 | -9.7 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 44% | 17% | 1% | -15.0 | +23.5 | -6.7 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 15% | 74% | 10% | 2% | +35.0 | -30.6 | -2.8 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 65% | 27% | 8% | 1% | -2.6 | -3.4 | +3.7 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 63% | 26% | 10% | 1% | -25.0 | +18.0 | -2.7 | +9.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 27% | 62% | 9% | 2% | -6.1 | +6.8 | -3.6 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,200 from Watanabe Futoshi | 18% | 74% | 5% | 3% | +3.3 | +11.9 | -3.6 | -11.6 |