Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/10 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -2.8 | +8.4 | -2.8 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 22% | 31% | 23% | 24% | +1.0 | -6.7 | -23.5 | +29.2 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 2,600 from Arisa Date | 20% | 21% | 11% | 48% | +9.8 | +2.7 | -12.5 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 26% | 22% | 5% | 47% | -0.8 | -1.8 | -2.2 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 20% | 5% | 50% | -4.2 | -3.1 | +1.6 | +5.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 17% | 5% | 57% | +2.0 | +0.1 | -1.6 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 17% | 4% | 57% | +5.4 | +0.2 | -2.6 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 17% | 3% | 54% | +12.0 | -6.6 | -1.0 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 2,700 | 35% | 14% | 4% | 48% | -3.8 | -3.1 | +6.6 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 12% | 6% | 50% | -4.4 | -15.7 | +18.0 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 6% | 11% | 56% | -8.9 | -4.6 | -18.7 | +32.2 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Arisa Date | 1% | 0% | 0% | 98% | +2.2 | +7.5 | -8.8 | -1.0 |