Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/10 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +31.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.9 | +6.7 | -1.4 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 22% | 30% | 23% | 25% | -0.7 | -4.7 | -25.0 | +30.4 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 19% | 23% | 12% | 47% | +9.5 | +1.6 | -9.9 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Date Arisa | 24% | 24% | 6% | 46% | -0.6 | -1.0 | -4.7 | +6.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 21% | 4% | 52% | -2.9 | -2.7 | +2.0 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 21% | 19% | 5% | 55% | +1.0 | -0.9 | +0.3 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 20% | 19% | 5% | 56% | +5.7 | -3.5 | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 16% | 4% | 55% | +11.4 | -0.8 | -4.9 | -5.7 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 2,700 | 34% | 16% | 3% | 47% | -5.0 | -5.7 | +8.0 | +2.7 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 12% | 5% | 54% | -0.7 | -18.0 | +18.7 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 4% | 11% | 55% | -10.8 | -1.8 | -19.1 | +31.8 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | +2.5 | +7.2 | -9.0 | -0.6 |