Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/10 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +38.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -15.3 | +1.1 | 0.0 | +14.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 24% | 25% | 37% | +6.9 | -4.1 | -3.5 | +0.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 18% | 21% | 23% | 38% | -0.7 | -0.9 | +38.4 | -36.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 16% | 18% | 54% | 12% | +1.2 | +28.1 | -30.7 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 43% | 25% | 13% | -4.1 | +0.3 | +9.8 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 43% | 33% | 9% | +10.3 | -2.2 | -5.4 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 39% | 29% | 9% | -3.0 | +1.8 | +2.2 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 42% | 32% | 9% | -4.7 | +4.5 | +4.1 | -3.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 13% | 47% | 32% | 7% | -5.8 | -6.7 | +27.2 | -14.7 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 29% | 63% | 2% | +25.6 | -8.5 | -11.5 | -5.6 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 25% | 49% | 2% | -19.5 | -1.0 | +25.2 | -4.6 |