Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

1/10 Game 2

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +36.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shiratori Sho● Takamiya Mari● Kurosawa Saki● Sarukawa Masatoshi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Takamiya● Kurosawa● Sarukawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Sarukawa Masatoshi
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Sarukawa Masatoshi
Expected pt change
East 1Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari24%25%25%26%-16.0+1.3-1.2+15.9
East 2Draw14%24%23%38%+10.1-5.9-2.6-1.6
East 3, 1 honbaShiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi20%21%23%36%-2.7+1.0+36.2-34.5
East 3, 2 honbaKurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho16%20%51%13%+3.0+27.1-28.6-1.6
East 4Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,00019%41%26%13%-4.0+2.3+8.6-6.9
South 1Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,00015%46%31%8%+8.2-3.9-2.9-1.5
South 1, 1 honbaDraw21%41%30%9%-3.4+3.0+1.9-1.5
South 2, 2 honbaDraw17%44%31%8%-4.2+3.8+3.1-2.7
South 2, 3 honbaShiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Sarukawa Masatoshi13%48%32%6%-5.2-7.4+27.8-15.2
South 3Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,0005%29%64%2%+24.8-7.1-13.1-4.6
South 4Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,00024%27%47%2%-19.0-2.5+26.4-4.8

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)